Re: July 21, 2005

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* Curtis Johnstone <[email protected]> [2005-07-24 22:12-0400]
> Ladies and Gentlemen - July 21, 2005 passed by like any other day with
> little buzz in the computing world. Unbeknownst to the average person, this
> date represented somewhat of an epoch in computing history. Yes, it was on
> this day 5 years ago that our good friend and Linux evangelist Gerald
> Oskoboiny declared that "I have no doubt whatsoever that Linux will conquer
> the desktop market within 3-5 years"
> (http://impressive.net/archives/fogo/[email protected]).

Yeah, yeah :)

At the time I wrote that, Linux companies had been getting funded
left and right and the trend seemed unstoppable, but the dot com
bust took away a lot of its momentum.

So it's taking a bit longer than I expected, but it will happen,
unless MacOS X does it first. (a fine product, if you don't value
your freedom ;)

> Microsoft still has approximately 90% of the desktop market.. :-)

That's nothing to smile about!

They also have approximately 99.999% of the spam zombie market...

:
> The next 5 years should be interesting. The desktop should matter less with
> the emergence of new mass communications devices (Blackberries, cell
> phones).

I think Linux will also do well in markets like PVRs, routers and
other internet appliances people will have around the house. I am
really surprised that nobody has succeeded yet at making and
selling cheap internet devices based on Linux.

--
Gerald Oskoboiny <[email protected]>
http://impressive.net/people/gerald/

Re: July 21, 2005

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Gerald Oskoboiny wrote:

>I think Linux will also do well in markets like PVRs, routers and
>other internet appliances people will have around the house. I am
>really surprised that nobody has succeeded yet at making and
>selling cheap internet devices based on Linux.
>
>  
>
I would consider the Linksys WRT54g, as well as it's competitors and
peers to meet this qualification quite well. Even more importantly they
have brought the freedom and power associated with it new scale of
consumer class device.

And the device that popularized the PVR, TiVo, is also based on linux.

That said, no, Linux is not quite cleaning up the desktop market like I
had also imagined, but forward progress is still being made.

-JohnF

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